Auditability

Every number shows its working. Every forecast, how far to trust it.

Open any figure to see how it was worked out — the summary, the path through the graph, the records and the query — and take it away as a PDF, Excel with live formulas or SQL. Open any forecast or model to see whether to trust it: every model that was tried, how each did on back-tests, and a grade with its reasons in words.

Can I trust this? · Headcount forecastgrade B
How it didEvery modelRangesWhy this grade
ModelFamilyBack-test
Weighted ensemblechosenEnsemble0.058
Chronos-2Pretrained0.064
ETSStatistical0.071
LightGBMMachine learning0.077
Seasonal naiveBaseline0.094
  • Accuracy against the baselineA
  • 80% range held in back-testsA · 9 of 10
  • Stability of the last quarterB
The grade is the lowest of the three checks.Sample data
What it does

Auditability, part by part.

  • 01

    How we got this?

    Behind every answer and chart: a summary in words, a diagram of the path through the graph, the records and the query. Download it all as a zip, a one-page PDF, Excel with live formulas, a SQL script or text.

  • 02

    Can I trust this?

    On every forecast: each model that was fitted, ranked on back-tests; how often each range held; and a grade — the lowest of three checks — with its reasons in words.

  • 03

    Model cards

    On every prediction: how the model did, every model compared, its drivers, how it errs, and a fairness check on yes/no predictions (by gender and age band for attrition risk) — and what it should and should not be used for.

  • 04

    Checked, worded, kept

    Every figure is checked against what the tools returned for that question; root causes are worded by the strength of the evidence, never as proven; a saved plan keeps the records it was worked out from.

How it works

Answer, Open the working, Check the confidence, Keep the record.

  1. Step 1

    Answer

    The point first, with its figures.

  2. Step 2

    Open the working

    How we got this: summary, diagram, data, query.

  3. Step 3

    Check the confidence

    Can I trust this: models, back-tests, grade.

  4. Step 4

    Keep the record

    Download it, or keep it with the plan.

What you can open

The audit trail, everywhere

WhereWhat it shows
Every answer and chart
How we got this? — Summary, Diagram, Data and SQL; a forecast or prediction opens its own view of the data, records and tests.
Every download
Zip, one-page PDF, Excel with live formulas, SQL script, text.
Every forecast
Can I trust this? — every model, its back-tests, how often each range held, and a grade with reasons.
Every prediction
A model card — performance, every model, drivers, fairness, how it errs, use and limits.
Every root cause
Each step with its graph queries, and findings worded by the strength of the evidence.
Every saved plan
The records it used — download them, or work it out again.
Every KPI
Its definition, checked as a dry run, and each change kept as a version.
Ask it

Questions it answers, in your words.

  • “How was this attrition figure calculated?”
  • “Can I trust this headcount forecast?”
  • “Is the attrition-risk model fair across genders?”

Your next people decision, with the why attached.

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